Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 10.697667 12.310083 14.036008 16.015489 18.217446 20.586090 23.321015
2025-11-16 8.205582 10.319508 12.743053 15.706567 19.210808 23.200109 28.061454
2025-11-23 6.572677 8.870948 11.651392 15.221732 19.640001 24.881618 31.519255
2025-11-30 5.646375 8.088872 11.179211 15.309151 20.609560 27.105165 35.579412
2025-12-07 4.919509 7.440785 10.762153 15.360512 21.452349 29.128788 39.399597
2025-12-14 4.374339 6.954747 10.481111 15.520275 22.385755 31.249844 43.370771
2025-12-21 3.878807 6.470877 10.139536 15.540550 23.093062 33.064277 46.971951
2025-12-28 3.575943 6.227872 10.099635 15.950071 24.317146 35.576778 51.547724
2026-01-04 3.277680 5.954345 9.981979 16.222091 25.339267 37.830947 55.830005
2026-01-11 2.964053 5.619180 9.737121 16.277181 26.034938 39.640016 59.542766
2026-01-18 2.579221 5.122669 9.198656 15.845778 25.985501 40.384575 61.783813
2026-01-25 2.265112 4.708439 8.750151 15.510520 26.041677 41.256052 64.201872
2026-02-01 1.983172 4.321157 8.316294 15.172265 26.079114 42.107623 66.634322
2026-02-08 1.744260 3.983132 7.933470 14.884018 26.167693 43.023075 69.172848
2026-02-15 1.506810 3.616777 7.467277 14.420276 25.945650 43.451348 70.991867
2026-02-22 1.378727 3.449822 7.336076 14.503921 26.587441 45.188082 74.779113
2026-03-01 1.259050 3.284793 7.192839 14.553064 27.167152 46.838521 78.471765
2026-03-08 1.164464 3.160895 7.114187 14.705937 27.916544 48.765521 82.624029
2026-03-15 1.062985 3.008590 6.967714 14.725338 28.437438 50.343117 86.275154
2026-03-22 1.011981 2.964402 7.026737 15.117260 29.598504 52.959017 91.583182
2026-03-29 0.950871 2.888768 7.016336 15.377633 30.539674 55.245058 96.427822
2026-04-05 0.874520 2.766169 6.900045 15.430370 31.118110 56.957289 100.408355
2026-04-12 0.763837 2.541394 6.551785 15.017441 30.855623 57.285810 102.202017